Can Labour win?

Can Labour win any of the elections being held on 4th May 2017? The answer is No and Maybe.

The Mayoral Elections.

These elections will be held to elect a Mayor of Cambridgeshire and Peterborough. This is a new position and the nearest comparable election would be the PCC election in 2016. This was a Conservative win so likely to be a Conservative win again.

The County Council Elections - Cambourne Division.

Labour cannot take the County Council. The new County Division of Cambourne is a different matter.

At the last elections held in 2013 the results were as follows:

Bourn Electoral Division
Conservative 449
Liberal Democrat 434
Labour 393
UK Independence 363
Green 89

Essentially this was a 4 way race.

The differences between the old Bourn Division and the new Cambourne Division are that Cambourne and Bourn stays together with Longstowe and Little Gransden added. Caxton, Eltisley and Croxton are moved to Papworth Division. This favours Labour.

Labour have a very good chance of taking the Cambourne seat. Yet Labour will do little to win this seat. A pity for Labour.

Bourn Ward SCDC.

This is on the old boundaries. The last election in 2016 was a Conservative win. Unless Labour are going all out for the Cambourne County seat I cannot see how they will win this seat.